RISK-ADJUSTED NORMATIVE MONETARY VALUATION OF AGRICULTURAL LAND IN LANDSLIDE-PRONE MOUNTAIN AREAS: A GIS-BASED MULTI-CRITERIA APPROACH

Digital technologies for Agricultural and Spatial Territory Planning

Authors

First and Last Name Academic degree E-mail Affiliation
Yulian Lototskyi No yulian.lototskyi-hz231 [at] nung.edu.ua Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and Gas
Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine
Iryna Bodnaruk Ph.D. irynabodnaruk17 [at] gmail.com Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and Gas
Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine
Dmytro Kasiyanchuk Ph.D. dima_kasiyanchuk [at] ukr.net Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and Gas
Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine

I and my co-authors (if any) authorize the use of the Paper in accordance with the Creative Commons CC BY license

First published on this website: 09.06.2026 - 10:38
Abstract 

Normative monetary valuation (NMV) of agricultural land in mountain districts of Ukraine currently neglects two spatially determined economic factors: soil quality heterogeneity and geomorphological hazard. This study proposes an integrated GIS-based methodology that incorporates both factors into a risk-adjusted valuation coefficient within the existing Ukrainian NMV regulatory framework. The study area encompasses Kosiv and Verkhovyna districts of Ivano-Frankivsk Region, located in the Outer Carpathians – a region with documented high landslide activity and pronounced soil variability.

A Soil Quality Index (SQI) was constructed from five satellite-derived soil variables obtained from the SIORA Ukraine Open Soil Dataset (2020): total nitrogen (N), organic carbon (OC), available phosphorus (P), exchangeable potassium (K), and pH at 250 m resolution. Physiology-grounded non-linear normalisation functions were applied – Michaelis-Menten saturation curves for N, OC, P, K, and a Gaussian optimum function for pH – followed by rescaling to a uniform [0;1] interval to ensure comparability. Landslide risk was decomposed into natural and technogenic components, each normalised independently. Component weights (wnatural = 0.60; wtech = 0.40) were determined via the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), consistent with the documented dominance of lithological and morphometric controls in Carpathian landslide dynamics. An additive aggregation model was applied. The resulting SQI and Riskintegral rasters serve as inputs for a risk-adjusted land value correction coefficient Kr, proposed as a spatially continuous modifier to the standard Ukrainian NMV formula, bounded within [0.82; 1.00] to reflect economically defensible geological risk discounting.

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